Can Seattle’s Real Estate Market Keep Up This Growth?

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If Seattle’s real estate market is going to slow down over the next year, will it be a burst or a dribble?

That’s the question on a lot of analysts minds. According to the latest S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller home price index, Seattle has lead the nation in home price increases for  14 months in a row.

The only relief buyers seem to get is a holiday slowdown, and even that is fairly short-lived: Adjusted for seasonal changes, prices grew 0.6 percent from the month prior, according to Case-Shiller, and the Northwest Multiple Listing Service report found that while both inventory and pending sales dipped to their lowest levels since April, prices still increased by double-digits in most of the 23 counties NWMLS serves.

While many brokers see the market growing at more than double the rate of the national average and think the boom is unsustainable in the next year, the question now is mostly whether Seattle will go out with a bang or just start to rise more gradually.

According to the NWMLS report, many brokers are seeing signs that Seattle is not a bubbling market.
“Prices are expected to see some much needed slowdown in 2018 which will help bring more balance to the market,” OB Jacobi, president of Windermere Real Estate, said. “Rising home prices on their own don’t lead to a bubble; a number of other factors have to come into play.”

But can Seattleites be expecting another 12.67 percent growth over last year? Probably not, is what most brokers hope, but so far there’s not much indication that Seattle is slowing down in the first part of 2018.
As one put it to the NWMLS, 2018 could be “less glamorous with 6-to-8 percent appreciation, or even a slight flattening of the market for 8-to-12 months.” But J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO of John L Scott Real Estate, “market conditions are set for another robust market in the year of 2018.”

~Zosha Millman, Seattle PI